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2010 Course Handbook

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ACST354: Survival Models

This unit develops advanced probability and statistical models for survival times and insurance losses. Nonparametric and parametric approaches are employed to draw sensible statistical inference on survival and loss, based on observed lifetimes and other forms of survival data. Students learn to apply sophisticated models and techniques to estimate survival distributions and decrement rates, predict future losses, assess the quality of estimation, identify risk factors and evaluate the impact of the risks. The unit covers a wide range of important topics including: survival analysis; Cox regression model; mortality models; stochastic processes; Markov chains and jump processes; Poisson processes; multiple state models; graduation of observed rates; and testing of graduation. Students gaining a grade of credit or higher in this unit may apply for exemption from subject CT4 of the professional exams of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia.

Credit Points: 4
Contact Hours: 5
When Offered:

D1 - Day; Offered in the first half-year

Staff Contact(s): Actuarial staff
Prerequisites:

(ACST243(P) or ACST255(P)) and (ACST211(P) or ACST212(P)) and STAT271(P)

Corequisites:

NCCW(s): ACST344, ACST397
Unit Designation(s):

Commerce; Economics

Science

Assessed As: Graded
Offered By:

Department of Actuarial Studies

Timetable Information

For unit timetable information please visit the Timetables@Macquarie Website .